Fri, Aug 21, 2026
Joplin, MO
The Joplin RoadRunners put on this prediction-style race with a twist: you estimate your finishing time before the start, then run the course without a watch or phone, trying to match it as closely as possible. Speed is beside the point. The runner who finishes closest to their prediction wins, which means self-knowledge matters more than pace.
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Going by the 2025 results, this is a small, friendly field, and the field is fairly quick, so expect a competitive front.
5K · 2025 results
Top 3: Daniel Mendoza (32:16) · Morgan Bridges (30:03) · Shelby Baugh Bruner (30:03)
The JRR Prediction Run has been held every year since at least 2025. That is as far back as RunSignup's records for this race go, so it may well be older.
Enter a finish time to see where it lands against the most recent 5K results.
How we calculate these stats: RunSesh calculates these figures from the most recent published results of past editions, sourced from RunSignup. We show aggregates only: field size, winning and median times, and the cutoff. We never publish individual finisher tables. Last updated Jul 27, 2026.
Set a goal and get a pace band: every mile split on a card sized for your phone lock screen, so race morning needs no math.
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Almost certainly not. Half the 5K field finished slower than 32:11, and the last recorded finisher came in around 43:59, so there is a long tail of runners behind the middle of the pack. Most fields are far slower than people expect.
It is a small race (30 finishers), which is friendlier and less intimidating than a big-city event, though the field thins out. There is no qualifying time, and the finish-time spread above shows how varied the field really is. If it is your first 5K, that spread matters more than the winner's time.
The 5K winner ran 22:36 while the median finisher took 32:11. That spread points to a relatively quick field, so expect a competitive front end.
